Progress Report
20 May 2018
What do scientists
do? With many questioning the value of scientists regarding climate
change, vaccinations and other matters, I thought it might be worthwhile
to document my scientific life. Before I entered medical school, I had
limited exposure to scientists in a social setting, and even now, talk
to few people outside of my professional life who write papers or do
research to advance scientific understanding.
Alas, I
am not a typical scientist. I graduated medical school (University of
Michigan 1983) and did a residency and fellowship in pathology (Wayne
State University 2000). Most scientists work for a university or
research institute, but I do not. I own a business which publishes a
free online pathology textbook and am currently its Editor, although I
recently hired a Deputy Editor who is much smarter than me and more
attuned to the academic world.
Here are the projects / papers I am working on:
1. The Laws of Complexity and Self-organization: A Framework for Understanding Neoplasia (see natpernick.com/TheLawsJune2017.pdf).
This
was my first complexity and cancer paper, initially published in 2011
and updated in 2017. I submitted it to several pathology conferences but
it was repeatedly rejected. In fairness, it did not fit any of the
categories for papers at the conferences, which logically suggests that
the paper will not be well received.
This paper was accepted for presentation at the International Conference on Complex Systems
in Boston in July 2018 (see http://www.necsi.edu/events/iccs2018/). I
had to shrink the abstract (summary) to 250 words. I am starting my
preparation for a 12 minute talk, which will be followed by 3 minutes of
questions. The purpose of the talk is to get feedback, leading to new
insights, corrections of errors and possibly new directions to study.
The questions often are impossible to answer in that setting other than
“I don’t know, I will follow up”. Sometimes, the questioner is really
giving a speech about his/her own work.
I also
submitted my complete paper for their published proceedings. Using their
very wide margins my paper was 18 pages, which I have chopped to their
limit of 10 pages.
2. How Cancer Arises Based on Complexity Theory (see natpernick.com/HowCancerArises.pdf)
A
revised abstract of this paper (currently 37 pages) will be submitted
to the 2019 ASCO conference (American Society of Clinical Oncology) in
May 2019. I tried in 2018 but the hurdles were (a) I had to find an ASCO
member to sponsor me and (b) I had previously posted the paper on my
personal website and prior publication was prohibited. But I eventually
found a sponsor and will revise the paper for 2019 based on the findings
in the other papers I am working on, as described below. I will also
try to find a medical center (Wayne State, University of Michigan,
Oakland University) where I can give a talk about it, to get feedback.
3. How lung cancer arises based on complexity theory
I
am writing papers on the top 20 leading causes of cancer death in the
US, beginning with lung cancer, applying the knowledge / theory derived
from my first 2 cancer and complexity papers. This paper has been
through many drafts, and is now complete. I submitted an abstract for
this paper to a pathology conference for presentation, and they should
accept or reject it this month for an October 2018 conference.
4. How colon cancer arises based on complexity theory (under development)
I
am working on the first draft of this paper. The plan is to finish this
paper by September 30, 2018, completing one paper every 3 months. At
this rate, it will take 5 years to write papers on the top 20 causes of
cancer death.
5. Preinvasive neoplasia
I published a Letter to the Editor
(see
http://www.archivesofpathology.org/doi/pdf/10.5858/arpa.2017-0581-LE)
about how complexity theory suggests that tumors such as glioblastoma,
which currently do not have a known premalignant condition, likely do
have one. I suggested that although we have not identified microscopic
features of premalignancy, there probably are molecular patterns.
This
was my first Letter to the Editor of a scientific journal in many
years. It is a quite complicated task compared to preparing a Facebook
post. There is much back and forth with the editor over formatting and
references. Sometimes their copy editor changes the text to make it more
“readable”, although in my case they completely changed the meaning.
Fortunately they corrected it.
That’s it for now.
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